Ládydeath

Actual (gold line) — Reconstructed HP from the real fight. Uses actual damage events (hits, dodges, parries as they happened) plus all healing received (from healers and self-heals). WCL does not provide raw HP values — this is computed from damage and healing events, the same method WarcraftLogs uses on their website.

Expected from stats (jade line) — Takes the actual fight and applies a cumulative offset based on the difference between your stat-predicted avoidance and your observed avoidance in this pull. If jade is above gold, you were unlucky (took more hits than stats predict). If below, you were lucky. Moves with sliders to show expected HP with different stats.

What-if gear (cyan dashed line) — Takes the actual fight and applies stat changes. More Stamina shifts the entire HP line up (each Stamina = 14 HP). More avoidance adds a cumulative offset based on expected additional swings avoided × average hit damage. This shows "if I had different gear, would I have survived that spike?"

Avoidance formula — Dodge and Parry use diminishing returns: DR(raw%, C) = (raw% × C) / (0.956 × C + raw%). Strength converts to Parry at 1 Str = 0.00105% parry (non-diminishing, adds up massively: 24k Str ≈ 26% parry). Boss level 93 suppresses 4.5% dodge and parry.

Limitations — HP is reconstructed from WCL damage and healing events, not pulled directly. Absorb shields (Blood Shield, PW:S, Divine Aegis) are correctly accounted for — damage amounts already have absorbs deducted. Battle rez recovery may show a slight delay since the rez event itself isn't a heal. The what-if gear line uses probabilistic averages, not individual re-rolls.